weltschmerz

Out with the old; in with the new. Submitted the dissertation today; start work on 3rd October.

Critics of Bayesian confirmation theory point to the problem of old evidence as a weakness of the account. Traditional attempts to resolve the problem include the counterfactual strategy and the humanised Bayesian strategy; I argue that these approaches are not entirely satisfactory. I then turn my attention to plausible reasoning in mathematics, focussing particularly on the problem of old evidence in mathematics, and argue that some form of humanised Bayesianism can contribute to our understanding of confirmation and old evidence in mathematics.

So there.